The summary of events which are prompting my course of action:
1. Greek elections with a distinct possibility of results that plunge the nation into chaos and even civil war. The inherent instability there is already bleeding over throughout the Balkans as other nations in the region are suffering the spillover effects of the rapid economic contraction.
2. Cyprus appears to be on the path to receiving a bailout while unification talks between “North Cyprus” or the Turkish zone appear to have broken down. If the United Nations mediator departs without an agreement and the bailout occurs, the oil and natural gas reserves discovered by the Greeks may well be used as collateral for the loans from the European Central Bank creating more friction between Greece and Turkey; especially if the election results in Greece produce a radical nationalist alliance.
3. Italy and Spain’s sudden and rapid economic collapse is impacting the banking systems throughout Europe and will ultimately hit the U.S. causing a contraction in investment and spending and a much more severe contraction/recession than 2008 as our nation’s structure to deal with this problem is far weaker than the prior collapse.
4. Egypt is on the verge of civil war and/or a military coup d’etat. The stories from the Egypt Independent this morning are alarming at best, terrifying in the implications to the region at worst:
Rights advocates challenge military powers to arrest civilians in court
Court verdict will dissolve People’s Assembly, says elections official
All that and the silence of Israel’s potential course of action towards Syria in preventing Islamic radicals OR the Assad regime from launching WMD’s against their tiny nation are of great concern, especially if Hezbollah adopts a use it or lose it approach with the defeat of the regime in Damascus.
5. ZeroHedge posted a cryptic message from the Forex trading company Oanda early this morning (see thread at ZH-”Due To The Extreme Volatility Some Market Analysts Foresee…“):
1. Greek elections with a distinct possibility of results that plunge the nation into chaos and even civil war. The inherent instability there is already bleeding over throughout the Balkans as other nations in the region are suffering the spillover effects of the rapid economic contraction.
2. Cyprus appears to be on the path to receiving a bailout while unification talks between “North Cyprus” or the Turkish zone appear to have broken down. If the United Nations mediator departs without an agreement and the bailout occurs, the oil and natural gas reserves discovered by the Greeks may well be used as collateral for the loans from the European Central Bank creating more friction between Greece and Turkey; especially if the election results in Greece produce a radical nationalist alliance.
3. Italy and Spain’s sudden and rapid economic collapse is impacting the banking systems throughout Europe and will ultimately hit the U.S. causing a contraction in investment and spending and a much more severe contraction/recession than 2008 as our nation’s structure to deal with this problem is far weaker than the prior collapse.
4. Egypt is on the verge of civil war and/or a military coup d’etat. The stories from the Egypt Independent this morning are alarming at best, terrifying in the implications to the region at worst:
Rights advocates challenge military powers to arrest civilians in court
Court verdict will dissolve People’s Assembly, says elections official
All that and the silence of Israel’s potential course of action towards Syria in preventing Islamic radicals OR the Assad regime from launching WMD’s against their tiny nation are of great concern, especially if Hezbollah adopts a use it or lose it approach with the defeat of the regime in Damascus.
5. ZeroHedge posted a cryptic message from the Forex trading company Oanda early this morning (see thread at ZH-”Due To The Extreme Volatility Some Market Analysts Foresee…“):
Now, though, there seems to be a consensus building, and it is all building toward sooner than later.
Time will tell.
COLMOLLIIN!
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